Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.431867 0.473269 0.518206 0.570833 0.631062 0.698185 0.779130
2025-08-10 0.352254 0.406924 0.470813 0.551898 0.653397 0.778078 0.945769
2025-08-17 0.307002 0.367303 0.441384 0.540866 0.673808 0.849702 1.107938
2025-08-24 0.275880 0.338902 0.419338 0.532240 0.691293 0.915204 1.270030
2025-08-31 0.252084 0.316330 0.400916 0.524090 0.705598 0.975409 1.433763
2025-09-07 0.237528 0.304007 0.394114 0.530012 0.739244 1.067685 1.667417
2025-09-14 0.220554 0.286613 0.378199 0.520210 0.746716 1.118641 1.840980
2025-09-21 0.208427 0.274820 0.368892 0.518754 0.766308 1.191780 2.073243
2025-09-28 0.194084 0.258720 0.351819 0.503231 0.760251 1.218270 2.218535
2025-10-05 0.190154 0.257325 0.356305 0.522022 0.814471 1.363862 2.662866
2025-10-12 0.185155 0.253896 0.357253 0.534865 0.859633 1.500652 3.138225
2025-10-19 0.178879 0.248061 0.353884 0.539878 0.890750 1.614755 3.602754
2025-10-26 0.168509 0.235600 0.339527 0.525255 0.883912 1.649525 3.874873
2025-11-02 0.158491 0.223201 0.324568 0.508440 0.871097 1.669760 4.119280
2025-11-09 0.150698 0.213866 0.314005 0.498587 0.871109 1.720252 4.488585
2025-11-16 0.143966 0.205839 0.305068 0.490869 0.874486 1.779776 4.924310
2025-11-23 0.137851 0.198475 0.296768 0.483572 0.877761 1.839942 5.401788
2025-11-30 0.134366 0.195183 0.295171 0.488875 0.909416 1.983056 6.322506
2025-12-07 0.128810 0.188203 0.286748 0.480096 0.907945 2.034227 6.878660
2025-12-14 0.124829 0.183641 0.282288 0.478791 0.923725 2.139778 7.799651
2025-12-21 0.119175 0.176027 0.271994 0.464874 0.907610 2.145364 8.196150
2025-12-28 0.118473 0.176711 0.276561 0.481720 0.968987 2.412112 10.451490
2026-01-04 0.116994 0.175982 0.278492 0.493219 1.018908 2.659934 13.038761